Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.311881 0.414819 0.528068 0.659889 0.807302 0.965510 1.146664
2025-07-20 0.181807 0.316482 0.482774 0.693124 0.943930 1.226818 1.564106
2025-07-27 0.134348 0.286234 0.489053 0.758435 1.090719 1.474748 1.941268
2025-08-03 0.093992 0.252171 0.481335 0.799842 1.204459 1.681595 2.269933
2025-08-10 0.057392 0.209433 0.452198 0.806197 1.269172 1.825624 2.521223
2025-08-17 0.023185 0.150938 0.388507 0.757885 1.258652 1.874189 2.655772
2025-08-24 0.004706 0.101802 0.326637 0.703051 1.232969 1.899053 2.757644
2025-08-31 0.000124 0.074337 0.293340 0.683998 1.250460 1.974464 2.917963
2025-09-07 NaN 0.059449 0.279405 0.691653 1.302363 2.092096 3.128987
2025-09-14 NaN 0.043609 0.258027 0.684665 1.332178 2.180288 3.302834
2025-09-21 NaN 0.028688 0.231857 0.666414 1.343989 2.243795 3.444951
2025-09-28 NaN 0.026812 0.240131 0.706449 1.439159 2.415927 3.722875
2025-10-05 NaN 0.025216 0.250232 0.752477 1.547320 2.610679 4.036552
2025-10-12 NaN 0.022469 0.255989 0.791294 1.646050 2.794565 4.338683
2025-10-19 NaN 0.024556 0.278554 0.860325 1.789030 3.036743 4.714097
2025-10-26 NaN 0.022945 0.287545 0.904800 1.896057 3.231674 5.030324
2025-11-02 NaN 0.016665 0.276330 0.911513 1.946906 3.351978 5.252224
2025-11-09 NaN 0.006490 0.235920 0.859935 1.908776 3.352476 5.321324
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000926 0.195113 0.801246 1.856263 3.331210 5.360724
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000002 0.174931 0.780823 1.860413 3.384939 5.494596
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.168588 0.789031 1.908960 3.499055 5.706127
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.155854 0.781539 1.931905 3.577609 5.871450
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.138901 0.761958 1.934341 3.627172 5.998709